EV / The modelers
EV / The modelers
People
News & events
Blog posts
Research
Areas
Grants
Publications
Open positions
Contact
Article-Journal
Interplay of Generation Time and Spatial Structure in Epidemic Dynamics and the Reliability of Reproduction Ratio Estimates
The reproduction ratio R is a central metric for monitoring infectious disease epidemics and guiding public health interventions. It is …
Claudio Ascione
,
Eugenio Valdano
Cite
DOI
Journal website
Discovering the laws behind complex networked systems
A recent study shows that neural symbolic regression offers a route to automated discovery of governing equations for network dynamics …
Iacopo Iacopini
,
Eugenio Valdano
PDF
Cite
DOI
Journal website
Free full-access link
Rainfall-driven disruptions in respiratory epidemic surveillance: evidence from COVID-19 in France and New York State
Extreme weather events can disrupt human behavior and access to health services, possibly affecting the surveillance of respiratory …
Susanna Carmen Caruso
,
Claudio Ascione
,
Eugenio Valdano
Cite
DOI
Journal website
Disruption of outdoor activities caused by wildfires increases disease circulation
As climate change accelerates, the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, such as wildfires, are increasing, with profound …
Beatriz Arregui García
,
Claudio Ascione
,
Arianna Pera
,
Boxuan Wang (王博玄)
,
Davide Stocco
,
Colin J. Carlson
,
Shweta Bansal
,
Eugenio Valdano
,
Giulia Pullano
Cite
DOI
Journal website
How floods may affect the spatial spread of respiratory pathogens: the case of Emilia-Romagna, Italy in May 2023
The negative impact of floods on public health has been increasing, as climate change makes these events more frequent and intense. …
Claudio Ascione
,
Eugenio Valdano
Cite
DOI
Journal website
Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: the Influcast experience
Collaborative hubs that integrate multiple teams to generate ensemble projections and forecasts for shared targets are now regarded as …
Stefania Fiandrino
,
Andrea Bizzotto
,
Giorgio Guzzetta
,
Stefano Merler
,
Federico Baldo
,
Eugenio Valdano
,
Alberto Mateo Urdiales
,
Antonino Bella
,
Francesco Celino
,
Lorenzo Zino
,
Alessandro Rizzo
,
Yuhan Li
,
Nicola Perra
,
Corrado Gioannini
,
Paolo Milano
,
Daniela Paolotti
,
Marco Quaggiotto
,
Luca Rossi
,
Ivan Vismara
,
Alessandro Vespignani
,
Nicolò Gozzi
Cite
DOI
Journal website
Complexity72h: training the next generation of researchers in complex systems
Traditional academic training of early-career researchers is often conditional to the funding, structure and managerial style of the …
Alberto Antonioni
,
Eugenio Valdano
Cite
DOI
Journal website
Limited data on infectious disease distribution exposes ambiguity in epidemic modeling choices
Traditional disease transmission models assume that the infectious period is exponentially distributed with a recovery rate fixed in …
Laura Di Domenico
,
Eugenio Valdano
,
Vittoria Colizza
Cite
DOI
Journal website
Estimates of the reproduction ratio from epidemic surveillance may be biased in spatially structured populations
Accurate estimates of the reproduction ratio are crucial for projecting the evolution of an infectious disease epidemic and for guiding …
Piero Birello
,
Michele Re Fiorentin
,
Boxuan Wang (王博玄)
,
Vittoria Colizza
,
Eugenio Valdano
Cite
DOI
Journal website
free full-access link
The importance of increasing primary vaccinations against COVID-19 in Europe
In the European Union, mass vaccination against COVID-19 staved off the strict restrictions that had characterized early epidemic …
Pierre-Yves Boëlle
,
Eugenio Valdano
Cite
DOI
Journal website
»
Cite
×